The People Versus Austerity

Over the past 18 months, Covid has taught us, more than ever before, the importance of public sector services. We lit candles, clapped and paid tribute to frontline workers, the nurses and doctors who bore the brunt of the pandemic. Yet, across the globe, blunt and ineffective public sector wage cuts are damaging the very sectors governments claim to want to protect.

A new report by ActionAid, Public Services International and Education International, The People Versus Austerity, shows that International Monetary Fund (IMF) advice to cut government spending in 15 developing countries has wiped nearly $10 billion from public sector wage budgets – the equivalent of cutting more than three million jobs, including doctors, and nurses and teachers at the height of the pandemic. This has undermined progress on health and education and other Sustainable Development Goals and women’s human rights. There is an urgent need for a radical re-think. We need to place frontline public sector workers at the heart of the post-Covid recovery. And the transformative responses needed to reverse the climate crisis. After forty years of shrinking and squeezing, people are pushing back against the cult of austerity. We are reimagining the role of the public sector for a more caring, feminist, green and just future.

Last week, the 2021 World Bank Group and IMF Annual Meetings will take place in Washington. Despite some shifts in rhetoric, austerity and further public sector wage cuts will remain very much on the cards. The research in the People Versus Austerity shows that in 2020 the IMF recommended that governments either cut or freeze public sector wage bills in 90% of the countries where data was available. Likewise, the recent Global Austerity Alert suggests 154 countries face austerity in 2021. With this rising to 159 countries in 2022.

The Results of Austerity

The results of forty years of ‘Austerity’, ‘structural adjustment’, or ‘economic discipline’ globally are clear. The World Health Organisation (WHO) estimates there is a shortage of 5.9 million nurses. With almost 90% of those shortages being in low and middle income countries. Filling these shortages needs to be matched by addressing low pay across the nursing profession, of which 90% are women. The Irish Nurses and Midwives Organisation has also highlighted the chronic shortages of nurses in hospitals in Ireland.  

Meanwhile UNESCO estimates that 69 million more teachers need to be recruited in the next ten years to achieve the Sustainable Development Goal of universal access to primary and secondary education by 2030. 

When core education and health goals are not met, the impact is felt triply and most acutely by women and girls. Women and girls are more likely to be excluded from accessing basic services. They lose opportunities for decent work in the public sector. And women and girls bear a disproportionate share of the unpaid care and domestic work that rises when public services fail.

Rising Inequalities

In many cases this is happening in the context of wider regressions in women’s human rights and rising inequalities. While, at the same time, escalating profits that could finance public services are disappearing owing to weak tax systems, tax loopholes, avoidance and evasion. This enables wealth to be concentrated in the hands of a few multinational companies and billionaires. Tax dodging costs developing countries an estimated $300bn every year in lost revenues. Ireland has played a role in this, by acting as an entry point to Europe for big multinationals, allowing them to avoid paying tax in the poorest countries through loopholes, tax treaties and tax structures such as the “Single Malt,” which remains in use as recently exposed by Christian Aid. 

The central rationale for imposing austerity measures is to stabilise or decrease debt levels, to prevent defaults and to ensure countries can continue to service their existing debts – and access future loans. To achieve this, maintaining inflation in low single digits is seen as crucial by the IMF- and the imposition of public sector wage bill cuts and freezes.

Sierra Leone

The impact of this undermines global development efforts in very real ways. Even in the very countries that Ireland is supporting in bilateral aid. Sierra Leone receives bilateral funding annually from Ireland. Yet the IMF has advised Sierra Leone throughout the period 2016-2021 to cut the public sector wage bill to meet a target of 6% of GDP. The Sierra Leone civil war, which ended in 2002, left the country with some of the worst health and education outcomes in the world. Since then, ambitious initiatives have been introduced. This includes the Free Health Care Initiative for pregnant and lactating mothers and children under 5. And a commitment to free primary and secondary education.

But despite these ambitious targets (and many challenges), the IMF has called for public sector cuts. ActionAid’s research found that, because of this policy, the wage bill for health workers decreased in real terms by 15% between 2017 and 2021. This is a massive challenge in a country still reeling from Ebola when COVID hit. Meanwhile, the education sector wage bill, has in real terms decreased by 5% even though the pupil-teacher ratio has grown from 60:1 in 2017 to 75:1 in 2021. The teacher gap has also grown from 51,524 to 69,074 in the same period. Ireland needs to use its voice and influence globally to ensure that the global economic architecture does not undermine the very things we support.   

The People Versus Austerity: A Feminist Just Transition

Investment in public services is at the heart of many progressive movements for a feminist and just transition. Here, there is a recognition that responses to the climate crisis and an unequal and broken economic system are inherently linked. And these ideas on the importance of the public sector are no longer at the margins. Joe Biden’s multi-trillion recovery package focuses on infrastructure. But redefines this, regarding frontline public sector workers as part of the core infrastructure of the country. 

The orthodox austerity approach pursued by the IMF and too many Ministries of Finance, is supposed to promote the narrow goals of stability and aggregate growth. But in practice this actively constrains fiscal space and blocks public investment in public services and the public sector workforce. Both in the short and longer term. Key public responsibilities for health, education, social protection and other services are passed on to private households (adding to the unpaid work of women). Or the private sector (for profit extraction). Neoliberalism has been oversold for forty years and has stifled the very growth and development it was supposed to value. It is time for fundamental overhaul, for a system change focused on economic justice.

Protesters holding End Fossil Fuels banner at a climate demonstration, advocating for renewable energy solutions.

Protestors at COP 28 in Dubai. Photo: Konrad Skotnicki.

Climate protest with diverse crowd holding signs about environmental action in a city square.

Belfast Climate Change March, 2019. Photo: Trócaire.

The Profit Driving the Crisis

Despite their overwhelming contribution to global emissions, fossil fuel companies continue to attract significant financial backing—driven by their enduring profitability. This is starkly illustrated by the case of ExxonMobil, the top fossil fuel investment held by asset managers based in Ireland. In 2023, ExxonMobil reported €33.63 billion ($36 billion) in profit. That is almost twice the GDP of Botswana (€18.1 billion) and nearly three times Namibia’s GDP (€11.5 billion).

Ireland plays a hugely disproportionate role in facilitating investments into fossil fuel companies like ExxonMobil. In 2023, the investments made into fossil fuel companies by investment managers based in Ireland generated an estimated 72.5 million tons of CO2e. This is more than the CO2e emissions for the entire country of Ireland—and more than ten times that generated by Sierra Leone.

The Global Human Impact

The climate crisis is here, now, and it is causing disproportionate harm in the Global South. In Bangladesh, rising sea levels and increasingly severe cyclones are displacing coastal communities, with projections indicating that 17% of the entire country could be underwater by 2050. The legally binding Paris Agreement on climate change explicitly acknowledges the importance of tackling private finance. Its three overarching goals are: keeping below 1.5C of warming; increasing adaptation and making finance flows consistent with low emissions and resilience.

This gives a clear mandate for action:  both tax reform and corporate regulation are needed to tackle financial flows, and both nationally in Ireland and at EU level, ‘polluter pays’ taxes are lacking and regulation of the financial sector remains weak and fragmented. While EU regulation exists, it is designed more to nudge investors toward more sustainable investment practices by increasing transparency and reporting levels than to enforce strict standards. And it is moving in the wrong direction: the recently passed EU Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive excluded investments; and now the EU Commission’s Omnibus legislative proposal threatens to undo the limited gains made on climate plans, as well as blocking future attempts for stronger action at national level.

The Risk of Inaction

Fossil fuel investment is too profitable to remain weakly regulated. If Ireland continues with its current strategy of encouraging FDI at all costs, and relying on weak EU regulation, we are headed for catastrophe. The Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change has repeatedly warned that every fraction of a degree beyond 1.5°C brings irreversible consequences: collapsed ice sheets, vanishing coral reefs, and extreme weather events that will make vast regions of the planet uninhabitable. And yet, companies are developing oil and gas fields that could push global warming beyond 2°C.

Our research found that 91% of the investments made into fossil fuel companies by investment managers based in Ireland were to companies that have plans for fossil fuel expansion like these. Ireland cannot afford inaction on this issue.

About This Research

The figures in this report regarding investment from Ireland are based on new research commissioned by ActionAid Ireland and Trócaire. In the paper, we uncover the scale of fossil fuel investment through Ireland, who the investors are, and in which fossil fuel companies they are investing.  We analyse the current regulatory framework and explain why it is inadequate—and moving in the wrong direction. And we make specific recommendations for change, which are summarised below.

Summary of Recommendations

Regulate the private financial sector
Ireland must end its outsized role as an enabler of destructive fossil fuel investment. Ireland should introduce a strong gender-responsive national human rights and environmental due diligence framework which includes the regulation of investors with respect to human rights and the environment and climate. The transposition of the EU Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive could achieve this if downstream activities are included and the Omnibus proposal is rejected. Ireland should prohibit investments in fossil fuel expansion and require investors to implement climate transition plans consistent with a 1.5°C climate limit.

Endorse the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty
Ireland should endorse developing a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty to curb fossil fuel expansion and commit to a fair and funded phase out of fossil fuels.

Support tax justice
Ireland should support bold and fair new global tax rules through the UN Framework Convention on Tax, should adopt all OECD BEPS measures, and should conduct an updated and comprehensive spillover analysis of its tax policy. Ireland should take coordinated action globally, at the EU level and domestically to introduce a range of new taxes to mobilise finance needed for climate justice, based on ‘polluter pays’ and social equity principles such as wealth taxes for the highest earners, climate damages tax on investors, fossil fuel production taxes and levies on aviation and shipping.

Finance a just transition
Ireland must also meet its fair share climate finance obligations under Article 9.1 of the Paris Agreement, and pay our ecological debt to the Global South. Ireland should support conditionality-free debt cancellation for countries on the front lines of the climate crisis, commit to a new UN Framework Convention on Sovereign Debt, moving debt negotiations from the IMF to the UN, and to a debt workout mechanism that is fully representative and fair.

Further reading